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David Kipiani Cup · Round of 32 · Georgia

WIT Georgia v Samgurali

2-2Full time

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Match analysisPre-match brief

WIT Georgia v Samgurali: the model read

WIT Georgia meet Samgurali in the David Kipiani Cup round of 32. The model makes WIT Georgia the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% WIT, 29% draw, 25% SAM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans WIT Georgia, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors WIT Georgia on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans WIT Georgia at 65%; double chance reads WIT Georgia or draw 75%, Samgurali or draw 54%.

WIT Georgia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Samgurali, W 3-0 @ Dmanisi, W 2-0 @ Betlemi, L 0-1 v Merani Tbilisi.

Samgurali are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ WIT Georgia, W 1-0 @ Spaeri, D 0-0 @ Gagra, L 3-5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi.

Samgurali hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: WIT Georgia 2-2 Samgurali.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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WIT Georgia

LLWWD10-5-5

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 40%

  • DHSamgurali2-2
  • WADmanisi3-0
  • WABetlemi2-0
  • LHMerani Tbilisi0-1
  • LADidube 20140-1

Samgurali

WLDWD7-5-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DAWIT Georgia2-2
  • WASpaeri1-0
  • DAGagra0-0
  • LADinamo Tbilisi3-5
  • WHTorpedo Kutaisi2-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

WIT GeorgiarecordSamgurali
2
3
3 draws

Goals

5-8

for each

Avg goals

1.6

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

38%

3+ goals

WIT Georgia

Recent
DDLDLW
Wins 2Goals 5-8

Biggest win 1-0

Samgurali

Recent
DDWDWL
Wins 3Goals 8-5

Biggest win 3-0

  • WIT Georgia2-2Samgurali
  • Samgurali0-0WIT Georgia
  • Samgurali3-0WIT Georgia
  • WIT Georgia0-0Samgurali
  • Samgurali1-0WIT Georgia
  • WIT Georgia1-0Samgurali
  • Samgurali2-1WIT Georgia
  • WIT Georgia1-0Samgurali

Managers

M. Kotchlashvili

Head coach

In charge since 2020

R. Vanoli

Head coach

In charge since 2024 · 4 clubs managed

  • Dinamo Tirana2022–2022
  • Koper2021–2021
  • Bisceglie2019–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.