Guria v Dinamo Tbilisi: the model read
Guria meet Dinamo Tbilisi in the David Kipiani Cup round of 32. The model makes Guria the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% GUR, 28% draw, 28% DIN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guria, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors Guria on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Guria at 62%; double chance reads Guria or draw 72%, Dinamo Tbilisi or draw 55%.
Guria arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Dinamo Tbilisi, W 6-1 v Merani Tbilisi, W 2-1 @ Didube 2014, W 5-2 v Iveria Khashuri.
Dinamo Tbilisi are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guria, W 3-0 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, D 1-1 v US Mondorf-les-bains, W 2-1 @ US Mondorf-les-bains.
Dinamo Tbilisi hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guria 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output