Where the market is wrong on Karpaty v Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty meet Shakhtar Donetsk in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Ukraina Stadium, Lviv.
The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 70%. Attacking output favors Shakhtar Donetsk on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Karpaty arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Livyi Bereh, W 2-0 v Obolon'-Brovar, W 3-0 v Bukovyna, W 3-0 v LNZ Cherkasy.
Shakhtar Donetsk are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Polessya, W 1-0 @ FC Kharkiv, W 2-0 @ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, W 5-1 v Kudrivka.
Shakhtar Donetsk hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Karpaty.
The market prices KAR at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Karpaty: a 22.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
