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Premier League · Regular Season - 4 · Ukraine

Chornomorets v Kryvbas KR

1-0Full time· Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa· Referee: Oleksandr Solovyan, Ukraine

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Chornomorets v Kryvbas KR

Chornomorets meet Kryvbas KR in the Premier League regular season - 4 at Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa.

The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chornomorets, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Kryvbas KR on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.

Chornomorets arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kryvbas KR, L 0-1 @ Vilkhivtsi, L 0-2 @ LNZ Cherkasy, L 1-2 v Polessya.

Kryvbas KR are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Chornomorets, W 3-0 @ Rokyta, D 1-1 v Livyi Bereh, W 3-1 @ Zorya Luhansk.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chornomorets 1-0 Kryvbas KR.

The market prices CHO at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Chornomorets: a 8.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 73 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chornomorets

LLLLW11-2-6

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 36.8%

  • WHKryvbas KR1-0
  • LAVilkhivtsi0-1
  • LALNZ Cherkasy0-2
  • LHPolessya1-2
  • LAKolos Kovalivka1-2

Kryvbas KR

LWDWL8-3-9

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • LAChornomorets0-1
  • WARokyta3-0
  • DHLivyi Bereh1-1
  • WAZorya Luhansk3-1
  • LHKarpaty1-4

Head-to-head

9 meetings

ChornomoretsrecordKryvbas KR
4
5
0 draws

Goals

10-12

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

56%

both scored

Over 2.5

56%

3+ goals

Chornomorets

Recent
WWLLLL
Wins 4Goals 10-12

Biggest win 1-0

Kryvbas KR

Recent
LLWWWW
Wins 5Goals 12-10

Biggest win 3-1

  • Chornomorets1-0Kryvbas KR
  • Chornomorets2-1Kryvbas KR
  • Chornomorets1-3Kryvbas KR
  • Kryvbas KR1-0Chornomorets
  • Chornomorets1-2Kryvbas KR
  • Kryvbas KR1-0Chornomorets
  • Chornomorets2-1Hirnyk
  • Hirnyk2-3Chornomorets
  • Chornomorets0-1Hirnyk

Managers

Roman Grygorchuk

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Patrick van Leeuwen

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.