Where the market is wrong on Universitatea Cluj v FC Botosani
Universitatea Cluj meet FC Botosani in the Liga I regular season - 3 at Cluj Arena, Cluj-Napoca. The model makes FC Botosani the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% UNI, 32% draw, 36% FC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 41% against 37%. Attacking output favors FC Botosani on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans FC Botosani at 53%; double chance reads Universitatea Cluj or draw 64%, FC Botosani or draw 68%.
Universitatea Cluj arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, D 2-2 v Brann, W 2-1 v Farul Constanta, D 0-0 v Dynamo Kyiv.
FC Botosani are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Rapid, D 2-2 @ FC Voluntari, D 2-2 @ Ludogorets, L 0-4 @ Slavia Sofia.
The market prices UNI at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Botosani: a 13.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
