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World Cup · Round of 32 · World

Germany v Paraguay

1-1Full time· Gillette Stadium, Boston· Referee: Jalal Jayed, Morocco

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Germany v Paraguay: the model read

Germany meet Paraguay in the World Cup round of 32 at Gillette Stadium, Boston.

Germany rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1535. Recent form leans Germany, 73% against 55%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.2 per match.

Germany arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paraguay, L 1-2 @ Ecuador, W 2-1 v Ivory Coast, W 7-1 v Curaçao.

Paraguay are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v France, D 1-1 @ Germany, D 0-0 v Australia, W 1-0 @ Türkiye.

Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Germany 1-1 Paraguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Germany

WWWLD13-3-4

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHParaguay1-1
  • LAEcuador1-2
  • WHIvory Coast2-1
  • WHCuraçao7-1
  • WAUSA2-1

Paraguay

LWDDL8-6-6

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • LHFrance0-1
  • DAGermany1-1
  • DHAustralia0-0
  • WATürkiye1-0
  • LAUSA1-4

Head-to-head

1 meeting

GermanyrecordParaguay
0
0
1 draw

Goals

1-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Germany

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1

Paraguay

Recent
D
Wins 0Goals 1-1
  • Germany1-1Paraguay

Managers

J. Nagelsmann

Germany · 38

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2021–2023
  • RB Leipzig2019–2021
  • Hoffenheim2016–2019
  • Hoffenheim U192013–2016

G. Alfaro

Argentina · 63

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • Costa Rica2023–2024
  • Paraguay2023–2023
  • Ecuador2020–2023
  • Boca Juniors2019–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.