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Coppa Italia · Round of 64 · Italy

Venezia v Modena

3-2Full time· Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice· Referee: M. Caputi

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Venezia v Modena: the model read

Venezia meet Modena in the Coppa Italia round of 64 at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.

Venezia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1509. Recent form leans Venezia, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Venezia on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Venezia at 59%; double chance reads Venezia or draw 71%, Modena or draw 58%.

Venezia arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ AC Milan, L 0-2 v Lecce, W 3-2 v Modena, D 2-2 @ Stade Brestois 29.

Modena are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cremonese, W 2-1 @ Benevento, L 2-3 @ Venezia, D 0-0 v Vis Pesaro.

Venezia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Venezia 3-2 Modena.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Venezia

LDWLL11-6-3

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • LAAC Milan0-2
  • LHLecce0-2
  • WHModena3-2
  • DAStade Brestois 292-2
  • LASaint Etienne3-4

Modena

WDLWW7-4-7

Scored 1.39 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 33.3% · BTTS 44.4%

  • WACremonese3-0
  • WABenevento2-1
  • LAVenezia2-3
  • DHVis Pesaro0-0
  • WATrento1-0

Head-to-head

9 meetings

VeneziarecordModena
6
1
2 draws

Goals

20-11

for each

Avg goals

3.4

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

78%

3+ goals

Venezia

Recent
WLWDWW
Wins 6Goals 20-11

Biggest win 5-0

Modena

Recent
LWLDLL
Wins 1Goals 11-20

Biggest win 2-0

  • Venezia3-2Modena
  • Venezia0-2Modena
  • Modena1-2Venezia
  • Venezia2-2Modena
  • Modena1-3Venezia
  • Venezia5-0Modena
  • Modena2-2Venezia
  • Venezia1-0Modena
  • Modena1-2Venezia

Managers

G. Stroppa

Italy · 57

In charge since 2025 · 8 teams managed

  • Cremonese2023–2024
  • Monza2021–2022
  • Crotone2018–2021
  • Crotone2018–2018

A. Sottil

Italy · 51

In charge since 2025 · 12 teams managed

  • Sampdoria2024–2024
  • Salernitana2024–2024
  • Udinese2022–2023
  • Ascoli2020–2022

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.