Where the market is wrong on Peterborough v Doncaster
Peterborough meet Doncaster in the League One regular season - 7 at Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Doncaster on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Peterborough arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Colchester, L 0-2 v Doncaster, D 3-3 v Barnsley, D 1-1 @ Milton Keynes Dons.
Doncaster are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Peterborough, L 0-1 @ AFC Wimbledon, L 1-3 v Huddersfield, L 2-3 v Plymouth.
Doncaster hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Peterborough 0-2 Doncaster.
The market prices PET at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
