Plymouth v Bradford: the model read
Plymouth meet Bradford in the League One regular season - 3 at Home Park, Plymouth.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Plymouth, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Plymouth on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Plymouth arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Leicester, W 2-0 v Bradford, L 2-4 v Coventry, D 1-1 @ Wycombe.
Bradford are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Cambridge United, L 0-2 @ Plymouth, D 0-0 v Burnley, W 1-0 @ Sheffield Wednesday.
The market prices PLY at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
