Where the market is wrong on Accrington ST v Newport County
Accrington ST meet Newport County in the League Two regular season - 7 at The Crown Ground, Accrington.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Newport County, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Newport County on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Accrington ST arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Sunderland U21, D 0-0 v Newport County, L 1-2 @ Barnet, W 3-2 v Crawley Town.
Newport County are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Swindon Town, D 0-0 @ Accrington ST, D 1-1 v Fleetwood Town, L 0-1 @ Northampton.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Accrington ST 0-0 Newport County.
The market prices ACC at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Newport County: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
