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Cup · Group Stage - 5 · Russia

FC Orenburg v Rodina Moskva

· Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Orenburg v Rodina Moskva: the model read

FC Orenburg meet Rodina Moskva in the Cup group stage - 5 at Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 43%. Attacking output favors Rodina Moskva on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

FC Orenburg arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v FC Krasnodar, L 0-1 @ Dynamo, D 2-2 v Akron, D 1-1 v Rubin.

Rodina Moskva are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ FK Partizan, D 1-1 v Rubin, L 1-2 @ Krylia Sovetov, L 0-2 @ Dinamo Makhachkala.

FC Orenburg hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rodina Moskva 1-4 FC Orenburg.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Orenburg

DDDLD6-7-7

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • DHFC Krasnodar0-0
  • LADynamo0-1
  • DHAkron2-2
  • DHRubin1-1
  • DASpartak Moscow1-1

Rodina Moskva

LLLDW7-3-10

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • WAFK Partizan3-2
  • DHRubin1-1
  • LAKrylia Sovetov1-2
  • LADinamo Makhachkala0-2
  • LASpartak Moscow1-3

Head-to-head

1 meeting

FC OrenburgrecordRodina Moskva
1
0
0 draws

Goals

4-1

for each

Avg goals

5.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

FC Orenburg

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 4-1

Biggest win 4-1

Rodina Moskva

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 1-4
  • Rodina Moskva1-4FC Orenburg

Managers

Ildar Akhmetzyanov

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Juan Diaz

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.