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Cup · Group Stage - 5 · Russia

Fakel v Akhmat

· Fakel Stadium, Voronezh

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fakel v Akhmat: the model read

Fakel meet Akhmat in the Cup group stage - 5 at Fakel Stadium, Voronezh.

Akhmat rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Akhmat, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Akhmat on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.

Fakel arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Spartak Moscow, D 2-2 v Baltika, L 1-3 @ FC Rostov, D 1-1 v FC Krasnodar.

Akhmat are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Akron, W 3-2 v Dinamo Makhachkala, D 1-1 @ Rubin, L 0-3 @ Dynamo.

Fakel hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Akhmat 2-1 Fakel.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fakel

LDLDL3-8-9

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LASpartak Moscow0-1
  • DHBaltika2-2
  • LAFC Rostov1-3
  • DHFC Krasnodar1-1
  • LHZenit0-1

Akhmat

DLDWL8-8-4

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LAAkron0-2
  • WHDinamo Makhachkala3-2
  • DARubin1-1
  • LADynamo0-3
  • DHKrylia Sovetov3-3

Head-to-head

8 meetings

FakelrecordAkhmat
3
2
3 draws

Goals

10-8

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Fakel

Recent
LDDWWW
Wins 3Goals 10-8

Biggest win 2-0

Akhmat

Recent
WDDLLL
Wins 2Goals 8-10

Biggest win 2-1

  • Akhmat2-1Fakel
  • Fakel0-0Akhmat
  • Fakel0-0Akhmat
  • Akhmat2-3Fakel
  • Fakel Voronezh2-0Akhmat Grozny
  • Akhmat Grozny1-2Fakel Voronezh
  • Fakel Voronezh1-1Akhmat Grozny
  • Akhmat Grozny2-1Fakel Voronezh

Managers

Oleg Vasilenko

Head coach

In charge since 2025

S. Cherchesov

Russia · 62

In charge since 2025 · 11 teams managed

  • Kazakhstan2024–2025
  • Ferencváros2021–2023
  • Russia2016–2021
  • Legia Warsaw2015–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.