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Championship · Regular Season - 10 · England

QPR v Derby

· Loftus Road, London

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Match analysisPre-match brief

QPR v Derby: the model read

QPR meet Derby in the Championship regular season - 10 at Loftus Road, London.

QPR rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1489. Recent form leans QPR, 68% against 45%. Attacking output favors QPR on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.

QPR arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Cardiff, W 2-1 @ Blackburn, D 0-0 v Bolton, W 3-1 @ Portsmouth.

Derby are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Portsmouth, L 0-3 v Swansea, D 2-2 v Cardiff, L 1-2 @ Charlton.

QPR hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: QPR 2-3 Derby.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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QPR

DWDWW11-5-4

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • WHCardiff2-1
  • WABlackburn2-1
  • DHBolton0-0
  • WAPortsmouth3-1
  • DHMillwall1-1

Derby

LLDLW8-2-10

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • WAPortsmouth2-0
  • LHSwansea0-3
  • DHCardiff2-2
  • LACharlton1-2
  • LHLincoln1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

QPRrecordDerby
5
4
1 draw

Goals

13-10

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

QPR

Recent
LLWLWW
Wins 5Goals 13-10

Biggest win 4-0

Derby

Recent
WWLWLL
Wins 4Goals 10-13

Biggest win 2-0

  • QPR2-3Derby
  • Derby1-0QPR
  • QPR4-0Derby
  • Derby2-0QPR
  • QPR1-0Derby
  • Derby1-2QPR
  • QPR0-1Derby
  • Derby0-1QPR
  • QPR2-1Derby
  • Derby1-1QPR

Managers

J. Stéphan

France · 45

In charge since 2025 · 4 teams managed

  • Rennes2023–2024
  • Strasbourg2021–2023
  • Rennes2018–2021
  • Rennes II2015–2018

J. Eustace

England · 46

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Blackburn Rovers2024–2025
  • Birmingham City2022–2023
  • Queens Park Rangers2019–2019
  • Kidderminster Harriers2016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.