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Championship · Regular Season - 10 · England

Norwich v Southampton

· Carrow Road, Norwich

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Norwich v Southampton: the model read

Norwich meet Southampton in the Championship regular season - 10 at Carrow Road, Norwich.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1674, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Southampton, 74% against 57%. Attacking output favors Southampton on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.5 per match.

Norwich arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Stoke City, W 4-1 v Burnley, W 2-1 @ Cardiff, L 0-3 @ Millwall.

Southampton are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Birmingham, W 5-1 v Millwall, L 1-4 v West Ham, W 3-1 v Stoke City.

Southampton hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Southampton 1-0 Norwich.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Norwich

LLWWL9-5-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LAStoke City0-1
  • WHBurnley4-1
  • WACardiff2-1
  • LAMillwall0-3
  • LHWest Brom1-2

Southampton

LWLWD12-4-3

Scored 2.16 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 78.9%

  • DABirmingham1-1
  • WHMillwall5-1
  • LHWest Ham1-4
  • WHStoke City3-1
  • LAWatford1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

NorwichrecordSouthampton
2
6
2 draws

Goals

10-19

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Norwich

Recent
LWLDDL
Wins 2Goals 10-19

Biggest win 2-1

Southampton

Recent
WLWDDW
Wins 6Goals 19-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • Southampton1-0Norwich
  • Norwich2-1Southampton
  • Norwich0-3Southampton
  • Norwich1-1Southampton
  • Southampton4-4Norwich
  • Southampton2-0Norwich
  • Norwich2-1Southampton
  • Norwich0-3Southampton
  • Southampton2-1Norwich
  • Southampton1-0Norwich

Managers

L. Manning

England · 40

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Oxford United2023–2023
  • Milton Keynes Dons2021–2022
  • Lommel2020–2021
  • West Ham United U232018–2019
Away coach unavailable.

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.