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Championship · Regular Season - 10 · England

Millwall v Swansea

· The Den, London

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Millwall v Swansea: the model read

Millwall meet Swansea in the Championship regular season - 10 at The Den, London.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 57%. Attacking output favors Swansea on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.

Millwall arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Southampton, W 1-0 @ Cambridge United, W 3-0 v Norwich, W 2-0 @ Bristol City.

Swansea are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Watford, W 3-0 @ Derby, D 0-0 v Sheffield Utd, W 2-1 @ Stoke City.

Millwall hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Millwall 2-1 Swansea.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Millwall

DWWWL9-5-6

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • LASouthampton1-5
  • WACambridge United1-0
  • WHNorwich3-0
  • WABristol City2-0
  • DAQPR1-1

Swansea

LWDWW9-5-6

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WHWatford2-0
  • WADerby3-0
  • DHSheffield Utd0-0
  • WAStoke City2-1
  • LHBirmingham0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MillwallrecordSwansea
5
2
3 draws

Goals

10-9

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Millwall

Recent
WDWWWL
Wins 5Goals 10-9

Biggest win 2-1

Swansea

Recent
LDLLLW
Wins 2Goals 9-10

Biggest win 3-0

  • Millwall2-1Swansea
  • Swansea1-1Millwall
  • Millwall1-0Swansea
  • Swansea0-1Millwall
  • Swansea0-1Millwall
  • Millwall0-3Swansea
  • Millwall2-1Swansea
  • Swansea2-2Millwall
  • Millwall0-1Swansea
  • Swansea0-0Millwall

Managers

A. Neil

Scotland · 44

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Stoke City2022–2023
  • Sunderland2022–2022
  • Preston North End2017–2021
  • Norwich City2015–2017

Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.