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Championship · Regular Season - 9 · England

Southampton v Portsmouth

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Southampton v Portsmouth: the model read

Southampton meet Portsmouth in the Championship regular season - 9.

Southampton rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1674 to 1466. Recent form leans Southampton, 74% against 45%. Attacking output favors Southampton on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.2 per match.

Southampton arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Birmingham, W 5-1 v Millwall, L 1-4 v West Ham, W 3-1 v Stoke City.

Portsmouth are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Derby, L 1-2 @ Bristol City, W 3-1 @ Lincoln, L 1-3 v QPR.

Southampton hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Southampton

LWLWD12-4-3

Scored 2.16 · Conceded 1.16 · Clean sheets 21.1% · BTTS 78.9%

  • DABirmingham1-1
  • WHMillwall5-1
  • LHWest Ham1-4
  • WHStoke City3-1
  • LAWatford1-2

Portsmouth

LLWLL6-6-8

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LHDerby0-2
  • LABristol City1-2
  • WALincoln3-1
  • LHQPR1-3
  • LAWest Ham1-3

Head-to-head

5 meetings

SouthamptonrecordPortsmouth
1
0
4 draws

Goals

8-4

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Southampton

Recent
DDWDD
Wins 1Goals 8-4

Biggest win 4-0

Portsmouth

Recent
DDLDD
Wins 0Goals 4-8
  • Portsmouth1-1Southampton
  • Southampton0-0Portsmouth
  • Portsmouth0-4Southampton
  • Southampton2-2Portsmouth
  • Portsmouth1-1Southampton

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.