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Championship · Regular Season - 8 · England

Cardiff v Charlton

· Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cardiff v Charlton: the model read

Cardiff meet Charlton in the Championship regular season - 8 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cardiff, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Cardiff on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.

Cardiff arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ QPR, D 2-2 v Sheffield Utd, L 1-2 v Norwich, D 2-2 @ Derby.

Charlton are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ West Brom, W 1-0 v Preston, L 1-5 @ Tottenham, W 2-1 @ West Ham.

Charlton hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2020: Cardiff 0-0 Charlton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cardiff

DDLDL9-6-5

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • LAQPR1-2
  • DHSheffield Utd2-2
  • LHNorwich1-2
  • DADerby2-2
  • DHWrexham1-1

Charlton

WWLWD8-4-8

Scored 1.15 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • DAWest Brom1-1
  • WHPreston1-0
  • LATottenham1-5
  • WAWest Ham2-1
  • WHDerby2-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

CardiffrecordCharlton
1
2
5 draws

Goals

10-11

for each

Avg goals

2.6

per game

BTTS

63%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Cardiff

Recent
DDDWLD
Wins 1Goals 10-11

Biggest win 2-1

Charlton

Recent
DDDLWD
Wins 2Goals 11-10

Biggest win 2-1

  • Cardiff0-0Charlton
  • Charlton2-2Cardiff
  • Charlton0-0Cardiff
  • Cardiff2-1Charlton
  • Cardiff1-2Charlton
  • Charlton1-1Cardiff
  • Cardiff0-0Charlton
  • Charlton5-4Cardiff

Managers

Brian Barry-Murphy

Head coach

In charge since 2025

N. Jones

Wales · 52

In charge since 2024 · 5 teams managed

  • Southampton2022–2023
  • Luton Town2020–2022
  • Stoke City2019–2019
  • Luton Town2016–2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.