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Championship · Regular Season - 8 · England

Bristol City v Watford

· Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bristol City v Watford: the model read

Bristol City meet Watford in the Championship regular season - 8 at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bristol City, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Bristol City on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Bristol City arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Preston, W 2-1 v Portsmouth, D 2-2 @ Birmingham, L 0-2 v Millwall.

Watford are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Swansea, D 1-1 v West Ham, L 1-5 v Peterborough, D 1-1 @ Wrexham.

Watford hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bristol City 1-2 Watford.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bristol City

LLDWW7-6-7

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • WAPreston3-1
  • WHPortsmouth2-1
  • DABirmingham2-2
  • LHMillwall0-2
  • LHWalsall0-1

Watford

WDLDL4-5-11

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 55%

  • LASwansea0-2
  • DHWest Ham1-1
  • LHPeterborough1-5
  • DAWrexham1-1
  • WHSouthampton2-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Bristol CityrecordWatford
3
4
3 draws

Goals

14-16

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Bristol City

Recent
LWDWLD
Wins 3Goals 14-16

Biggest win 5-1

Watford

Recent
WLDLWD
Wins 4Goals 16-14

Biggest win 6-0

  • Bristol City1-2Watford
  • Bristol City5-1Watford
  • Watford1-1Bristol City
  • Bristol City2-1Watford
  • Watford1-0Bristol City
  • Bristol City1-1Watford
  • Watford1-4Bristol City
  • Watford2-0Bristol City
  • Bristol City0-0Watford
  • Watford6-0Bristol City

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Charlie Daniels

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.