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Championship · Regular Season - 7 · England

Bolton v Cardiff

· Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bolton v Cardiff: the model read

Bolton meet Cardiff in the Championship regular season - 7 at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Cardiff on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.

Bolton arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Sheffield Utd, L 0-1 v Lincoln, D 0-0 @ QPR, W 2-1 v Preston.

Cardiff are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Sheffield Utd, L 1-2 v Norwich, D 2-2 @ Derby, D 1-1 v Wrexham.

Cardiff hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cardiff 2-0 Bolton.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bolton

LWDLL8-6-6

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LASheffield Utd2-3
  • LHLincoln0-1
  • DAQPR0-0
  • WHPreston2-1
  • LASheffield Wednesday0-1

Cardiff

WDDLD9-7-4

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • DHSheffield Utd2-2
  • LHNorwich1-2
  • DADerby2-2
  • DHWrexham1-1
  • WHSwindon Town3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

BoltonrecordCardiff
4
5
1 draw

Goals

13-11

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Bolton

Recent
LWLWLL
Wins 4Goals 13-11

Biggest win 3-0

Cardiff

Recent
WLWLWW
Wins 5Goals 11-13

Biggest win 2-0

  • Cardiff2-0Bolton
  • Bolton1-0Cardiff
  • Cardiff2-0Bolton
  • Bolton2-0Cardiff
  • Cardiff2-1Bolton
  • Bolton2-3Cardiff
  • Cardiff0-3Bolton
  • Bolton3-0Cardiff
  • Bolton0-1Cardiff
  • Cardiff1-1Bolton

Managers

Steven Schumacher

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Brian Barry-Murphy

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.