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Championship · Regular Season - 6 · England

Norwich v Birmingham

· Carrow Road, Norwich

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Norwich v Birmingham: the model read

Norwich meet Birmingham in the Championship regular season - 6 at Carrow Road, Norwich.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Norwich on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Norwich arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Stoke City, W 4-1 v Burnley, W 2-1 @ Cardiff, L 0-3 @ Millwall.

Birmingham are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Southampton, W 2-1 @ Wrexham, L 1-6 v Brentford, D 2-2 v Bristol City.

Norwich hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Norwich 1-2 Birmingham.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Norwich

LLWWL9-5-6

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LAStoke City0-1
  • WHBurnley4-1
  • WACardiff2-1
  • LAMillwall0-3
  • LHWest Brom1-2

Birmingham

DDLWD9-7-4

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DHSouthampton1-1
  • WAWrexham2-1
  • LHBrentford1-6
  • DHBristol City2-2
  • DASheffield Utd0-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

NorwichrecordBirmingham
6
3
1 draw

Goals

18-13

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

Norwich

Recent
LLLWWW
Wins 6Goals 18-13

Biggest win 2-0

Birmingham

Recent
WWWLLL
Wins 3Goals 13-18

Biggest win 4-1

  • Norwich1-2Birmingham
  • Birmingham4-1Norwich
  • Birmingham1-0Norwich
  • Norwich2-0Birmingham
  • Norwich3-1Birmingham
  • Birmingham1-2Norwich
  • Norwich2-2Birmingham
  • Birmingham1-3Norwich
  • Norwich1-0Birmingham
  • Norwich3-1Birmingham

Managers

L. Manning

England · 40

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Oxford United2023–2023
  • Milton Keynes Dons2021–2022
  • Lommel2020–2021
  • West Ham United U232018–2019

C. Davies

Wales · 40

In charge since 2024

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.