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Championship · Regular Season - 6 · England

Cardiff v Stoke City

· Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Cardiff v Stoke City: the model read

Cardiff meet Stoke City in the Championship regular season - 6 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.

Cardiff rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1581 to 1420. Recent form leans Cardiff, 63% against 38%. Attacking output favors Cardiff on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.1 per match.

Cardiff arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Sheffield Utd, L 1-2 v Norwich, D 2-2 @ Derby, D 1-1 v Wrexham.

Stoke City are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Norwich, L 1-4 @ Wolves, D 1-1 v Hull City, L 1-3 @ Southampton.

Cardiff hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 7 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Cardiff 0-1 Stoke City.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Cardiff

WDDLD9-7-4

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • DHSheffield Utd2-2
  • LHNorwich1-2
  • DADerby2-2
  • DHWrexham1-1
  • WHSwindon Town3-2

Stoke City

LLDLW5-5-10

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.65 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WHNorwich1-0
  • LAWolves1-4
  • DHHull City1-1
  • LASouthampton1-3
  • LHSwansea1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

CardiffrecordStoke City
2
1
7 draws

Goals

15-14

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Cardiff

Recent
LDDWDD
Wins 2Goals 15-14

Biggest win 2-1

Stoke City

Recent
WDDLDD
Wins 1Goals 14-15

Biggest win 1-0

  • Cardiff0-1Stoke City
  • Stoke City3-3Cardiff
  • Stoke City2-2Cardiff
  • Cardiff2-1Stoke City
  • Stoke City0-0Cardiff
  • Cardiff1-1Stoke City
  • Stoke City2-2Cardiff
  • Cardiff2-1Stoke City
  • Stoke City3-3Cardiff
  • Cardiff0-0Stoke City

Managers

Brian Barry-Murphy

Head coach

In charge since 2025

M. Robins

England · 56

In charge since 2025 · 5 teams managed

  • Coventry City2017–2024
  • Scunthorpe United2014–2016
  • Huddersfield Town2013–2014
  • Coventry City2012–2013

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

Cardiff vs Stoke City — Championship forecast, preview & stats · Lemeister