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Championship · Regular Season - 4 · England

West Ham v Wolves

4-2Full time· London Stadium, London· Referee: L. Smith

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Match analysisPre-match brief

West Ham v Wolves: the model read

West Ham meet Wolves in the Championship regular season - 4 at London Stadium, London.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors West Ham on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

West Ham arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Wolves, D 1-1 @ Watford, W 4-1 @ Southampton, L 1-2 v Charlton.

Wolves are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ West Ham, W 4-1 v Stoke City, W 2-0 @ Sheffield Wednesday, W 3-1 @ Preston.

The market prices WES at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

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West Ham

DLWDW7-8-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • WHWolves4-2
  • DAWatford1-1
  • WASouthampton4-1
  • LHCharlton1-2
  • DABurnley2-2

Wolves

DWWWL7-5-7

Scored 1.53 · Conceded 1.53 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 52.6%

  • LAWest Ham2-4
  • WHStoke City4-1
  • WASheffield Wednesday2-0
  • WAPreston3-1
  • DHBlackburn2-2

Managers

Nuno Espírito Santo

Head coach

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Nottingham Forest2023–2025
  • Al-Ittihad FC2022–2023
  • Tottenham2021–2021
  • Wolves2017–2021

César Peixoto

Portugal · 45

In charge since 2026 · 7 teams managed

  • Moreirense2024–2025
  • Paços Ferreira2023–2023
  • Paços Ferreira2021–2022
  • Moreirense2020–2021

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.