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Celtic v AC Milan

2-2Full time· Celtic Park, Glasgow

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Celtic v AC Milan: the model read

Celtic meet AC Milan in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies at Celtic Park, Glasgow.

Celtic rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1512. Recent form leans Celtic, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors Celtic on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Celtic at 64%; double chance reads Celtic or draw 74%, AC Milan or draw 54%.

Celtic arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Falkirk, L 1-5 @ Lask Linz, W 3-0 v Lask Linz, W 4-0 @ Dundee Utd.

AC Milan are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Venezia, W 2-1 @ Torino, W 4-2 @ Manchester United, L 0-3 @ Chelsea.

AC Milan hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celtic 2-2 AC Milan.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Celtic

WWWLW14-3-3

Scored 2.35 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • WHFalkirk2-1
  • LALask Linz1-5
  • WHLask Linz3-0
  • WADundee Utd4-0
  • WAKilmarnock5-1

AC Milan

DLWWW8-4-8

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • WHVenezia2-0
  • WATorino2-1
  • WAManchester United4-2
  • LAChelsea0-3
  • DHInter1-1

Head-to-head

5 meetings

CelticrecordAC Milan
0
4
1 draw

Goals

5-14

for each

Avg goals

3.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Celtic

Recent
DLLLL
Wins 0Goals 5-14

AC Milan

Recent
DWWWW
Wins 4Goals 14-5

Biggest win 3-0

  • Celtic2-2AC Milan
  • AC Milan4-2Celtic
  • Celtic1-3AC Milan
  • Celtic0-3AC Milan
  • AC Milan2-0Celtic

Managers

Martin O'Neill

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Ruben Amorim

Portugal · 40

In charge since 2026 · 5 teams managed

  • Sporting Lisbon2020–2024
  • Sporting Braga2019–2020
  • Sporting Braga II2019–2019

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.