Gleisdorf 09 v Sturm Graz II

Gleisdorf 09 meet Sturm Graz II in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Gleisdorf 09 the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% GLE, 30% draw, 32% STU.

The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gleisdorf 09, 42% against 23%. Attacking output favors Gleisdorf 09 on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Gleisdorf 09 at 54%; double chance reads Gleisdorf 09 or draw 68%, Sturm Graz II or draw 62%.

Gleisdorf 09 arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sturm Graz II, L 0-3 @ Gnas, L 2-5 v Favoritner AC, L 0-2 @ Velden.

Sturm Graz II are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, L 1-2 @ Gleisdorf 09, L 1-2 v Al-Hilal Saudi FC, L 2-3 v Beltinci.

Sturm Graz II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gleisdorf 09 2-1 Sturm Graz II.

The market prices GLE at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Gleisdorf 09: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.