Where the market is wrong on Loko Vltavín v Aritma Praha
Loko Vltavín meet Aritma Praha in the 3. liga - CFL A group a - 3 at Stadion U Pruhonu, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Loko Vltavín on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 45%. Draw no bet leans Aritma Praha at 56%; double chance reads Loko Vltavín or draw 62%, Aritma Praha or draw 69%.
Loko Vltavín arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Králův Dvůr, D 2-2 v Aritma Praha, D 2-2 @ Písek, W 2-0 @ Rokycany.
Aritma Praha are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Loko Vltavín, D 0-0 v Povltava FA, L 0-1 @ Hluboka nad Vltavou, D 0-0 @ Benešov.
The market prices LOK at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Aritma Praha: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
