USA v Bosnia & Herzegovina: the model read
USA meet Bosnia & Herzegovina in the World Cup round of 32 at Levi's Stadium, San-Francisco. The model makes USA the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% USA, 29% draw, 34% BOS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors USA on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans USA at 53%; double chance reads USA or draw 66%, Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw 62%.
USA arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Belgium, W 2-0 v Bosnia & Herzegovina, L 2-3 @ Türkiye, W 2-0 v Australia.
Bosnia & Herzegovina are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ USA, W 3-1 v Qatar, L 1-4 @ Switzerland, D 1-1 @ Canada.
USA hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: USA 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
