Where the market is wrong on Portadown v Limavady United
Portadown meet Limavady United in the Premiership regular season - 10 at Shamrock Park, Portadown.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 45%. Attacking output favors Portadown on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Portadown arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Limavady United, L 0-2 @ Ballymena United, L 1-3 @ Bangor, D 1-1 v Linfield.
Limavady United are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Portadown, W 1-0 v Cliftonville FC, L 0-1 @ Coleraine FC, W 3-1 v Bangor.
Portadown hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Portadown 3-1 Limavady United.
The market prices POR at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
