Where the market is wrong on Glentoran v Carrick Rangers
Glentoran meet Carrick Rangers in the Premiership regular season - 9 at The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Carrick Rangers, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Carrick Rangers on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.8 per match.
Glentoran arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Carrick Rangers, W 2-1 @ Cliftonville FC, L 1-2 v Coleraine FC, D 1-1 v Bangor.
Carrick Rangers are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Glentoran, L 2-5 v Larne, D 1-1 @ Ballymena United, L 1-3 v Cliftonville FC.
Glentoran hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Glentoran 2-0 Carrick Rangers.
The market prices GLE at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Carrick Rangers: a 12.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
