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Premiership · Regular Season - 4 · Northern-Ireland

Glentoran v Crusaders FC

1-2Full time· The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast· Referee: T. Marshall

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Glentoran v Crusaders FC

Glentoran meet Crusaders FC in the Premiership regular season - 4 at The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast.

Crusaders FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1489. Recent form leans Crusaders FC, 65% against 48%. Attacking output favors Glentoran on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Glentoran arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Crusaders FC, W 2-0 @ Ballymena United, L 1-2 @ Linfield, W 2-0 v Limavady United.

Crusaders FC are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Glentoran, W 3-2 v Portadown, W 2-1 v Ballymena United, L 1-2 @ Cliftonville FC.

The market prices GLE at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Crusaders FC: a 26.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Glentoran

LWLWL7-5-8

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHCrusaders FC1-2
  • WABallymena United2-0
  • LALinfield1-2
  • WHLimavady United2-0
  • LARīgas FS0-2

Crusaders FC

WLWWW11-4-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WAGlentoran2-1
  • WHPortadown3-2
  • WHBallymena United2-1
  • LACliftonville FC1-2
  • WHDundela2-0

Managers

Declan Devine

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Declan Caddell

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.