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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 · Austria

Red Bull Salzburg v Rapid Vienna

· Red Bull Arena, Salzburg· Referee: J. Semler

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Red Bull Salzburg v Rapid Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg meet Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga regular season - 4 at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1625 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rapid Vienna, 80% against 66%. Attacking output favors Rapid Vienna on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.3 per match.

Red Bull Salzburg arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Austria Vienna, W 3-0 v Mjallby AIF, W 1-0 @ Mjallby AIF, W 3-0 @ WSG Wattens.

Rapid Vienna are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 16 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Sturm Graz, D 1-1 v Heart Of Midlothian, D 2-2 @ Heart Of Midlothian, W 8-0 v Grazer AK.

Rapid Vienna hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Red Bull Salzburg.

The market prices RED at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Rapid Vienna: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Red Bull Salzburg

DWWWW11-3-5

Scored 2.32 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 42.1% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WHAustria Vienna4-1
  • WHMjallby AIF3-0
  • WAMjallby AIF1-0
  • WAWSG Wattens3-0
  • DAPafos3-3

Rapid Vienna

WWDDW14-4-2

Scored 2.70 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHSturm Graz3-1
  • DHHeart Of Midlothian1-1
  • DAHeart Of Midlothian2-2
  • WHGrazer AK8-0
  • WHPaide2-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Red Bull SalzburgrecordRapid Vienna
3
5
2 draws

Goals

13-14

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Red Bull Salzburg

Recent
LLLWWW
Wins 3Goals 13-14

Biggest win 4-2

Rapid Vienna

Recent
WWWLLL
Wins 5Goals 14-13

Biggest win 2-0

  • Rapid Vienna1-0Red Bull Salzburg
  • Red Bull Salzburg0-1Rapid Vienna
  • Rapid Vienna1-0Red Bull Salzburg
  • Red Bull Salzburg2-1Rapid Vienna
  • Red Bull Salzburg4-2Rapid Vienna
  • Rapid Vienna0-2Red Bull Salzburg
  • Red Bull Salzburg2-2Rapid Vienna
  • Rapid Vienna3-2Red Bull Salzburg
  • Rapid Vienna2-0Red Bull Salzburg
  • Red Bull Salzburg1-1Rapid Vienna

Managers

Danny Rohl

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Rangers2025–2026

Johannes Thorup

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.