Where the market is wrong on Wolfsberger AC v Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC meet Lask Linz in the Bundesliga regular season - 4 at Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsberg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1637 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 75%. Attacking output favors Lask Linz on expected goals, 2.9 to 2.4 per match.
Wolfsberger AC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Lask Linz, D 0-0 @ Grazer AK, L 1-2 @ Austria Lustenau, D 1-1 v Red Bull Salzburg.
Lask Linz are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v SCR Altach, W 5-1 v Celtic, L 0-3 @ Celtic, W 4-1 v Ried.
The market prices WOL at 15% implied. Our number sits apart on Wolfsberger AC: a 16.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
