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Premier League · Regular Season - 10 · Russia

FC Orenburg v Dinamo Makhachkala

· Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg

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Match analysisPre-match brief

FC Orenburg v Dinamo Makhachkala: the model read

FC Orenburg meet Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League regular season - 10 at Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dinamo Makhachkala on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

FC Orenburg arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v FC Krasnodar, L 0-1 @ Dynamo, D 2-2 v Akron, D 1-1 v Rubin.

Dinamo Makhachkala are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v CSKA Moscow, L 2-3 @ Akhmat, W 2-0 v Rodina Moskva, L 0-3 @ Zenit.

Dinamo Makhachkala hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dinamo Makhachkala 1-0 FC Orenburg.

The market prices FC at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Dinamo Makhachkala: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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FC Orenburg

DDDLD6-7-7

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • DHFC Krasnodar0-0
  • LADynamo0-1
  • DHAkron2-2
  • DHRubin1-1
  • DASpartak Moscow1-1

Dinamo Makhachkala

LLWLL8-3-9

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • LHCSKA Moscow1-3
  • LAAkhmat2-3
  • WHRodina Moskva2-0
  • LAZenit0-3
  • LARubin1-3

Head-to-head

4 meetings

FC OrenburgrecordDinamo Makhachkala
1
2
1 draw

Goals

4-5

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

FC Orenburg

Recent
LDWL
Wins 1Goals 4-5

Biggest win 2-1

Dinamo Makhachkala

Recent
WDLW
Wins 2Goals 5-4

Biggest win 1-0

  • Dinamo Makhachkala1-0FC Orenburg
  • FC Orenburg1-1Dinamo Makhachkala
  • FC Orenburg2-1Dinamo Makhachkala
  • Dinamo Makhachkala2-1FC Orenburg

Managers

Ildar Akhmetzyanov

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Vadim Evseev

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Chernomorets2026–2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.