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World Cup · Round of 32 · World

South Africa v Canada

0-1Full time· SoFi Stadium, Inglewood· Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal

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Match analysisPre-match brief

South Africa v Canada: the model read

South Africa meet Canada in the World Cup round of 32 at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Canada, 65% against 55%. Attacking output favors Canada on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.

South Africa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Canada, W 1-0 v South Korea, D 1-1 @ Czechia, L 0-2 @ Mexico.

Canada are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Canada hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: South Africa 0-1 Canada.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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South Africa

DLDWL7-8-5

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LHCanada0-1
  • WHSouth Korea1-0
  • DACzechia1-1
  • LAMexico0-2
  • DAJamaica1-1

Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Head-to-head

1 meeting

South AfricarecordCanada
0
1
0 draws

Goals

0-1

for each

Avg goals

1.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

South Africa

Recent
L
Wins 0Goals 0-1

Canada

Recent
W
Wins 1Goals 1-0

Biggest win 1-0

  • South Africa0-1Canada

Managers

H. Broos

Belgium · 73

In charge since 2026 · 8 teams managed

  • South Africa2022–2025
  • South Africa2021–2022
  • South Africa2021–2021
  • KV Oostende2019–2019

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.