Where the market is wrong on Fundación Lara Deportiva v Caracas FC
Fundación Lara Deportiva meet Caracas FC in the Copa Venezuela round 1 - group c.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 53%. Attacking output favors Fundación Lara Deportiva on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Fundación Lara Deportiva arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Puerto Cabello II, L 0-5 v Caracas FC, W 5-1 v Real Frontera, L 1-2 @ Deportivo Lara.
Caracas FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Monagas SC, W 5-0 @ Fundación Lara Deportiva, W 1-0 @ Trujillanos FC, D 1-1 v Portuguesa FC.
Caracas FC hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fundación Lara Deportiva 0-5 Caracas FC.
The market prices FUN at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Fundación Lara Deportiva: a 14.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
