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Auxerre v Chateauroux

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Auxerre v Chateauroux: the model read

Auxerre meet Chateauroux in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Auxerre the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% AUX, 30% draw, 27% CHA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1492 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Auxerre, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Auxerre on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Auxerre at 61%; double chance reads Auxerre or draw 73%, Chateauroux or draw 57%.

Auxerre arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Orleans, W 5-2 v St Maur Lusitanos, W 2-0 @ Lille, W 2-1 v Nice.

Chateauroux are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Valenciennes, W 2-1 v Sochaux, W 2-1 @ Dijon, L 0-2 v Fleury 91.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Auxerre

WWWWL6-7-6

Scored 1.37 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 31.6% · BTTS 47.4%

  • LHOrleans1-2
  • WHSt Maur Lusitanos5-2
  • WALille2-0
  • WHNice2-1
  • WHAngers3-1

Chateauroux

LLWWD3-6-9

Scored 1.06 · Conceded 1.72 · Clean sheets 5.6% · BTTS 55.6%

  • DAValenciennes2-2
  • WHSochaux2-1
  • WADijon2-1
  • LHFleury 910-2
  • LAVersailles0-4

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.