CEAC / Araruama v São Cristóvão RJ: the model read
CEAC / Araruama meet São Cristóvão RJ in the Copa Rio round 1. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 29% CEA, 36% draw, 35% SÃO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans São Cristóvão RJ, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors CEAC / Araruama on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans São Cristóvão RJ at 55%; double chance reads CEAC / Araruama or draw 65%, São Cristóvão RJ or draw 71%.
CEAC / Araruama arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Boavista SC, L 0-1 v Boavista SC, D 1-1 v São Cristóvão RJ, D 1-1 v Cabofriense.
São Cristóvão RJ are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ CEAC / Araruama, D 0-0 v CEAC / Araruama, L 0-1 v Serrano RJ, L 0-1 @ Serrano RJ.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: CEAC / Araruama 1-1 São Cristóvão RJ.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output