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FNL · Regular Season - 5 · Czech-Republic

Ústí nad Labem v Dukla Praha

3-1Full time· Town Stadium Usti, Usti nad Labem· Referee: D. Lovetinsky

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Ústí nad Labem v Dukla Praha: the model read

Ústí nad Labem meet Dukla Praha in the FNL regular season - 5 at Town Stadium Usti, Usti nad Labem.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ústí nad Labem, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dukla Praha on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Ústí nad Labem at 53%; double chance reads Ústí nad Labem or draw 67%, Dukla Praha or draw 62%.

Ústí nad Labem arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Varnsdorf, W 3-1 v Dukla Praha, D 0-0 @ Třinec, W 3-0 @ Karlovy Vary.

Dukla Praha are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Horní Ředice, L 1-3 @ Ústí nad Labem, L 1-3 v Slavia Praha II, W 3-0 @ Vykan.

The market prices ÚST at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Ústí nad Labem: a 2.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ústí nad Labem

DWDWD10-5-5

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DAVarnsdorf0-0
  • WHDukla Praha3-1
  • DATřinec0-0
  • WAKarlovy Vary3-0
  • DHArsenal Česká Lípa3-3

Dukla Praha

WWLLW8-3-9

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • WAHorní Ředice5-0
  • LAÚstí nad Labem1-3
  • LHSlavia Praha II1-3
  • WAVykan3-0
  • WHHanácká2-0

Managers

David Oulehla

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Pavel Sustr

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.