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Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 5 · Guatemala

Mixco v Guastatoya

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Mixco v Guastatoya: the model read

Mixco meet Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional regular season - 5.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mixco on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Guastatoya at 54%; double chance reads Mixco or draw 62%, Guastatoya or draw 68%.

Mixco arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Alianza FC, W 4-2 v Guastatoya, W 4-1 v UMECIT, L 2-3 @ Cobán Imperial.

Guastatoya are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Mixco, W 1-0 v Municipal, L 0-2 @ Antigua GFC, W 4-0 v Malacateco.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mixco 4-2 Guastatoya.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Mixco

LLWWW10-1-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 35%

  • WHAlianza FC2-0
  • WHGuastatoya4-2
  • WHUMECIT4-1
  • LACobán Imperial2-3
  • LADeportivo Saprissa0-3

Guastatoya

WWLWL8-4-8

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • LAMixco2-4
  • WHMunicipal1-0
  • LAAntigua GFC0-2
  • WHMalacateco4-0
  • WAAurora1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MixcorecordGuastatoya
4
4
2 draws

Goals

10-9

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Mixco

Recent
WWLLWL
Wins 4Goals 10-9

Biggest win 4-2

Guastatoya

Recent
LLWWLW
Wins 4Goals 9-10

Biggest win 2-0

  • Mixco4-2Guastatoya
  • Mixco1-0Guastatoya
  • Guastatoya2-0Mixco
  • Guastatoya1-0Mixco
  • Mixco2-0Guastatoya
  • Guastatoya1-0Mixco
  • Mixco0-1Guastatoya
  • Mixco1-1Guastatoya
  • Mixco2-1Guastatoya
  • Guastatoya0-0Mixco

Managers

Fabricio Benitez

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Ariel Sena

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.