Where the market is wrong on Sutjeska v Mladost DG
Sutjeska meet Mladost DG in the First League regular season - 5 at Stadion Gradski, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1407 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 34% against 35%. Attacking output favors Mladost DG on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Mladost DG at 50%; double chance reads Sutjeska or draw 65%, Mladost DG or draw 66%.
Sutjeska arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Mladost DG, D 0-0 @ Jezero, L 1-4 v Otrant-Olympic, L 0-1 @ Bokelj.
Mladost DG are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Sutjeska, D 0-0 v Petrovac, L 2-3 v Mornar, L 0-1 @ Jezero.
Sutjeska hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sutjeska 5-1 Mladost DG.
The market prices SUT at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Mladost DG: a 20.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
