TransferWise v Olympic: the model read
TransferWise meet Olympic in the Cup round of 64. The model makes Olympic the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 25% TRA, 25% draw, 50% OLY.
Olympic rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Olympic, 50% against 17%. Attacking output favors Olympic on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 91%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Olympic at 67%; double chance reads TransferWise or draw 50%, Olympic or draw 75%.
TransferWise arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 50 conceded. Recent results: L 3-6 v Olympic, L 0-26 @ Laagri, L 0-15 v Laagri, L 0-3 v Tulevik.
Olympic are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 28 conceded. Recent results: W 6-3 @ TransferWise, L 0-6 v Tulevik, L 0-11 @ Vaprus, L 0-8 v Laagri.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output