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I Liga · Regular Season - 13 · Poland

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Stal Mielec

· Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki v Stal Mielec: the model read

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki meet Stal Mielec in the I Liga regular season - 13 at Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 42%. Attacking output favors Stal Mielec on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Warta Poznań, L 1-3 @ Podhale Nowy Targ, D 2-2 v Nieciecza, D 2-2 @ Polonia Bytom.

Stal Mielec are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Odra Opole, D 3-3 @ Górnik Łęczna, L 0-2 @ Pogoń Siedlce, L 0-4 @ ŁKS Łódź.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1-2 Stal Mielec.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

DDDLW5-8-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • WHWarta Poznań1-0
  • LAPodhale Nowy Targ1-3
  • DHNieciecza2-2
  • DAPolonia Bytom2-2
  • DHStal Rzeszów1-1

Stal Mielec

WLLDD5-6-8

Scored 1.79 · Conceded 2.16 · Clean sheets 5.3% · BTTS 78.9%

  • DHOdra Opole1-1
  • DAGórnik Łęczna3-3
  • LAPogoń Siedlce0-2
  • LAŁKS Łódź0-4
  • WHPolonia Bytom5-2

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckirecordStal Mielec
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-1

Stal Mielec

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-1

  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-2Stal Mielec
  • Stal Mielec1-2Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Managers

Tomasz Kafarski

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Świt Skolwin2025–2026

Damian Skiba

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.