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I Liga · Regular Season - 7 · Poland

Stal Rzeszów v Polonia Warszawa

2-1Full time· Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow· Referee: P. Swierczek

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Stal Rzeszów v Polonia Warszawa: the model read

Stal Rzeszów meet Polonia Warszawa in the I Liga regular season - 7 at Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie, Rzeszow.

The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Polonia Warszawa, 48% against 39%. Attacking output favors Polonia Warszawa on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Stal Rzeszów arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Polonia Warszawa, W 3-0 v Podbeskidzie, W 1-0 @ Unia Skierniewice, L 0-1 v Ruch Chorzów.

Polonia Warszawa are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Stal Rzeszów, W 1-0 @ Górnik Polkowice, L 2-4 v Lechia Gdansk, W 3-1 @ Nieciecza.

Polonia Warszawa hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stal Rzeszów 2-1 Polonia Warszawa.

The market prices STA at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Stal Rzeszów

DLWWW5-5-9

Scored 1.26 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 15.8% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WHPolonia Warszawa2-1
  • WHPodbeskidzie3-0
  • WAUnia Skierniewice1-0
  • LHRuch Chorzów0-1
  • DAPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-1

Polonia Warszawa

LWLWL9-1-10

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.55 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LAStal Rzeszów1-2
  • WAGórnik Polkowice1-0
  • LHLechia Gdansk2-4
  • WANieciecza3-1
  • LAPogoń Siedlce0-1

Head-to-head

7 meetings

Stal RzeszówrecordPolonia Warszawa
2
4
1 draw

Goals

9-12

for each

Avg goals

3.0

per game

BTTS

71%

both scored

Over 2.5

71%

3+ goals

Stal Rzeszów

Recent
WLWLLL
Wins 2Goals 9-12

Biggest win 2-1

Polonia Warszawa

Recent
LWLWWW
Wins 4Goals 12-9

Biggest win 2-0

  • Stal Rzeszów2-1Polonia Warszawa
  • Stal Rzeszów0-2Polonia Warszawa
  • Polonia Warszawa2-3Stal Rzeszów
  • Stal Rzeszów1-2Polonia Warszawa
  • Polonia Warszawa1-0Stal Rzeszów
  • Stal Rzeszów1-2Polonia Warszawa
  • Polonia Warszawa2-2Stal Rzeszów

Managers

Marek Zub

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Piotr Stokowiec

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.