Where the market is wrong on Polonia Warszawa v Lechia Gdansk
Polonia Warszawa meet Lechia Gdansk in the I Liga regular season - 6 at Stadion Polonii, Warsaw.
Polonia Warszawa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Polonia Warszawa, 53% against 33%. Attacking output favors Polonia Warszawa on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Polonia Warszawa arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Górnik Polkowice, L 2-4 v Lechia Gdansk, W 3-1 @ Nieciecza, L 0-1 @ Pogoń Siedlce.
Lechia Gdansk are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Kluczbork, W 4-2 @ Polonia Warszawa, W 1-0 v Pogoń Siedlce, L 0-1 @ Ruch Chorzów.
Lechia Gdansk hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Polonia Warszawa 2-4 Lechia Gdansk.
The market prices POL at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Lechia Gdansk: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
