Where the market is wrong on Puszcza Niepołomice v Unia Skierniewice
Puszcza Niepołomice meet Unia Skierniewice in the I Liga regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1514, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 50%. Attacking output favors Unia Skierniewice on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Unia Skierniewice at 59%; double chance reads Puszcza Niepołomice or draw 59%, Unia Skierniewice or draw 71%.
Puszcza Niepołomice arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Unia Skierniewice, L 0-3 @ Arka Gdynia, W 3-1 v Odra Opole, L 0-1 @ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Unia Skierniewice are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Puszcza Niepołomice, L 0-3 v Miedz Legnica, W 2-0 v Arka Gdynia, D 2-2 v Sokół Kleczew.
Unia Skierniewice hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puszcza Niepołomice 0-1 Unia Skierniewice.
The market prices PUS at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Unia Skierniewice: a 11.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
