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I Liga · Regular Season - 1 · Poland

Odra Opole v Arka Gdynia

· Itaka Arena, Opole

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Odra Opole v Arka Gdynia

Odra Opole meet Arka Gdynia in the I Liga regular season - 1 at Itaka Arena, Opole. The model makes Odra Opole the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% ODR, 32% draw, 34% ARK.

The baseline ratings are close, 1447 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 41% against 39%. Attacking output favors Arka Gdynia on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Odra Opole at 51%; double chance reads Odra Opole or draw 66%, Arka Gdynia or draw 66%.

Odra Opole arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Piast Gliwice, L 0-3 v Baník Ostrava II, L 2-4 v Maccabi Netanya, D 0-0 @ Slask Wroclaw.

Arka Gdynia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Luzino, L 2-4 v Olimpia Grudziądz, W 2-0 v Petrolul Ploiesti, L 0-2 @ GKS Katowice.

Arka Gdynia hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Arka Gdynia 1-0 Odra Opole.

The market prices ODR at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Odra Opole: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Odra Opole

LDLLW5-4-8

Scored 0.88 · Conceded 1.24 · Clean sheets 41.2% · BTTS 29.4%

  • WAPiast Gliwice2-0
  • LHBaník Ostrava II0-3
  • LHMaccabi Netanya2-4
  • DASlask Wroclaw0-0
  • LHTychy 710-1

Arka Gdynia

LLWLW5-5-9

Scored 1.21 · Conceded 1.74 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 47.4%

  • WHLuzino2-0
  • LHOlimpia Grudziądz2-4
  • WHPetrolul Ploiesti2-0
  • LAGKS Katowice0-2
  • LARaków Częstochowa0-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Odra OpolerecordArka Gdynia
3
5
2 draws

Goals

11-21

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Odra Opole

Recent
LLLDWD
Wins 3Goals 11-21

Biggest win 2-0

Arka Gdynia

Recent
WWWDLD
Wins 5Goals 21-11

Biggest win 6-0

  • Arka Gdynia1-0Odra Opole
  • Odra Opole0-6Arka Gdynia
  • Arka Gdynia4-2Odra Opole
  • Arka Gdynia2-2Odra Opole
  • Odra Opole1-0Arka Gdynia
  • Odra Opole1-1Arka Gdynia
  • Arka Gdynia1-2Odra Opole
  • Odra Opole1-3Arka Gdynia
  • Arka Gdynia0-2Odra Opole
  • Arka Gdynia3-0Odra Opole

Managers

J. Skrobacz

Poland · 58

In charge since 2024 · 5 clubs managed

  • Podbeskidzie2024–2024
  • Ruch Chorzów2021–2023
  • Miedź Legnica2020–2021
  • Jastrzębie2016–2020

Hermes

Brazil · 51

In charge since 2023

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.