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League Two · Regular Season - 8 · Scotland

Kelty Hearts v Edinburgh City

1-3Full time· New Central Park, Kelty

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Kelty Hearts v Edinburgh City

Kelty Hearts meet Edinburgh City in the League Two regular season - 8 at New Central Park, Kelty.

Edinburgh City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1420. Recent form leans Edinburgh City, 63% against 34%. Attacking output favors Edinburgh City on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.

Kelty Hearts arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v Hearts U21, L 1-3 v Edinburgh City, L 1-4 @ Clyde, W 3-0 @ Cumbernauld Colts.

Edinburgh City are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Dundee United II, W 3-1 @ Kelty Hearts, W 7-3 v Stirling Albion, D 1-1 v Queen of the South.

Kelty Hearts hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kelty Hearts 1-3 Edinburgh City.

The market prices KEL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Edinburgh City: a 10.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Kelty Hearts

WWLLL6-1-12

Scored 1.47 · Conceded 2.47 · Clean sheets 5.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • LHHearts U213-5
  • LHEdinburgh City1-3
  • LAClyde1-4
  • WACumbernauld Colts3-0
  • WHAnnan Athletic2-1

Edinburgh City

LDWWW10-5-5

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • WHDundee United II1-0
  • WAKelty Hearts3-1
  • WHStirling Albion7-3
  • DHQueen of the South1-1
  • LAClyde2-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Kelty HeartsrecordEdinburgh City
5
4
1 draw

Goals

22-18

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

70%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Kelty Hearts

Recent
LWWWWW
Wins 5Goals 22-18

Biggest win 3-0

Edinburgh City

Recent
WLLLLL
Wins 4Goals 18-22

Biggest win 3-1

  • Kelty Hearts1-3Edinburgh City
  • Kelty Hearts3-1Edinburgh City
  • Kelty Hearts3-2Edinburgh City
  • Edinburgh City0-3Kelty Hearts
  • Edinburgh City1-4Kelty Hearts
  • Edinburgh City3-5Kelty Hearts
  • Edinburgh City2-2Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts1-2Edinburgh City
  • Edinburgh City2-0Kelty Hearts
  • Kelty Hearts0-2Edinburgh City

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.