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Premier League · Regular Season - 10 · England

Sunderland v Chelsea

· Stadium of Light, Sunderland

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sunderland v Chelsea: the model read

Sunderland meet Chelsea in the Premier League regular season - 10 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Chelsea on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.5 per match.

Sunderland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 @ Manchester City, W 1-0 v AZ Alkmaar, L 0-2 v Arsenal, W 1-0 v Hull City.

Chelsea are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Brentford, D 2-2 v Hull City, W 6-3 v Leeds, L 1-2 @ Arsenal.

Sunderland hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sunderland

DWLWL10-3-7

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAManchester City3-5
  • WHAZ Alkmaar1-0
  • LHArsenal0-2
  • WHHull City1-0
  • DABrentford1-1

Chelsea

WLWDL9-3-8

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • LABrentford0-3
  • DHHull City2-2
  • WHLeeds6-3
  • LAArsenal1-2
  • WHBrighton4-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

SunderlandrecordChelsea
5
4
1 draw

Goals

14-18

for each

Avg goals

3.2

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Sunderland

Recent
WWLLWL
Wins 5Goals 14-18

Biggest win 2-1

Chelsea

Recent
LLWWLW
Wins 4Goals 18-14

Biggest win 5-1

  • Sunderland2-1Chelsea
  • Chelsea1-2Sunderland
  • Chelsea5-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland0-1Chelsea
  • Sunderland3-2Chelsea
  • Chelsea3-1Sunderland
  • Chelsea3-1Sunderland
  • Sunderland0-0Chelsea
  • Chelsea1-2Sunderland
  • Sunderland2-1Chelsea

Managers

R. Le Bris

France · 50

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Lorient2022–2024
  • Lorient II2015–2022
Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.