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Premier League · Regular Season - 9 · England

Chelsea v Manchester United

· Stamford Bridge, London

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Chelsea v Manchester United: the model read

Chelsea meet Manchester United in the Premier League regular season - 9 at Stamford Bridge, London.

The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Chelsea on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.

Chelsea arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Brentford, D 2-2 v Hull City, W 6-3 v Leeds, L 1-2 @ Arsenal.

Manchester United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fulham, L 2-3 v Brighton, L 0-1 v Manchester City, W 4-0 v Sabah FA.

Manchester United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chelsea

WLWDL9-3-8

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.85 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

  • LABrentford0-3
  • DHHull City2-2
  • WHLeeds6-3
  • LAArsenal1-2
  • WHBrighton4-3

Manchester United

DWLLD9-5-6

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 60%

  • DAFulham1-1
  • LHBrighton2-3
  • LHManchester City0-1
  • WHSabah FA4-0
  • DAEverton2-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

ChelsearecordManchester United
2
4
4 draws

Goals

12-16

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Chelsea

Recent
LLWDWL
Wins 2Goals 12-16

Biggest win 1-0

Manchester United

Recent
WWLDLW
Wins 4Goals 16-12

Biggest win 4-1

  • Chelsea0-1Manchester United
  • Manchester United2-1Chelsea
  • Chelsea1-0Manchester United
  • Manchester United1-1Chelsea
  • Chelsea4-3Manchester United
  • Manchester United2-1Chelsea
  • Manchester United4-1Chelsea
  • Chelsea1-1Manchester United
  • Manchester United1-1Chelsea
  • Chelsea1-1Manchester United

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Michael Carrick

Head coach

In charge since 2025

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.