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Premier League · Regular Season - 9 · England

Bournemouth v Leeds

· Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Bournemouth v Leeds: the model read

Bournemouth meet Leeds in the Premier League regular season - 9 at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 65%. Attacking output favors Bournemouth on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.

Bournemouth arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Liverpool, W 2-1 @ Real Sociedad, D 2-2 v Brentford, W 4-0 v Lincoln.

Leeds are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Crystal Palace, W 4-1 v Newcastle, L 3-6 @ Chelsea, D 1-1 @ Brighton.

Leeds hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Bournemouth

DWDWL9-8-3

Scored 2.40 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 80%

  • LHLiverpool0-1
  • WAReal Sociedad2-1
  • DHBrentford2-2
  • WHLincoln4-0
  • DANewcastle2-2

Leeds

DDLWD10-6-4

Scored 1.80 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 50%

  • DHCrystal Palace0-0
  • WHNewcastle4-1
  • LAChelsea3-6
  • DABrighton1-1
  • DHBrentford1-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

BournemouthrecordLeeds
2
4
2 draws

Goals

17-16

for each

Avg goals

4.1

per game

BTTS

88%

both scored

Over 2.5

88%

3+ goals

Bournemouth

Recent
DDWLLL
Wins 2Goals 17-16

Biggest win 4-1

Leeds

Recent
DDLWWW
Wins 4Goals 16-17

Biggest win 3-1

  • Bournemouth2-2Leeds
  • Leeds2-2Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth4-1Leeds
  • Leeds4-3Bournemouth
  • Leeds1-0Bournemouth
  • Bournemouth1-3Leeds
  • Bournemouth4-1Leeds
  • Leeds2-1Bournemouth

Managers

Marco Rose

Head coach

In charge since 2026

D. Farke

Germany · 49

In charge since 2023 · 6 teams managed

  • Borussia M'gladbach2022–2023
  • Krasnodar2022–2022
  • Norwich City2017–2021
  • Borussia Dortmund II2015–2017

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.