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Premier League · Regular Season - 9 · England

Aston Villa v Fulham

· Villa Park, Birmingham

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Aston Villa v Fulham: the model read

Aston Villa meet Fulham in the Premier League regular season - 9 at Villa Park, Birmingham.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Aston Villa on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.1 per match.

Aston Villa arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Tottenham, W 3-1 @ Coventry, L 1-2 v Nottingham Forest, W 3-2 @ Club Brugge KV.

Fulham are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Manchester United, W 3-2 @ West Ham, D 0-0 @ Liverpool, L 2-3 v Crystal Palace.

Aston Villa hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Aston Villa

DWLWW9-2-9

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WATottenham3-2
  • WACoventry3-1
  • LHNottingham Forest1-2
  • WAClub Brugge KV3-2
  • DAHull City0-0

Fulham

LLDWD6-6-8

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • DHManchester United1-1
  • WAWest Ham3-2
  • DALiverpool0-0
  • LHCrystal Palace2-3
  • LASunderland0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Aston VillarecordFulham
8
2
0 draws

Goals

18-9

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Aston Villa

Recent
LWWWWW
Wins 8Goals 18-9

Biggest win 3-1

Fulham

Recent
WLLLLL
Wins 2Goals 9-18

Biggest win 3-0

  • Fulham1-0Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa3-1Fulham
  • Aston Villa1-0Fulham
  • Fulham1-3Aston Villa
  • Fulham1-2Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa3-1Fulham
  • Fulham0-2Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa1-0Fulham
  • Fulham3-0Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa3-1Fulham

Managers

Unai Emery

Spain · 54

In charge since 2022 · 9 teams managed

  • Villarreal2020–2022
  • Arsenal2018–2019
  • PSG2016–2018
  • Sevilla2013–2016

Alvaro Arbeloa

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Real Madrid2025–2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.